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Wednesday 6 April 2022

The U.S dollar was boosted yesterday by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials

  • The dollar's moves were primarily a function of Brainard's hawkish comments
  • The euro struggled yesterday amid concerns about the outcome of the French elections
  • The Australian dollar is boosted by the prospect of policy tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia

Forex market

The U.S dollar hit its highest in nearly two years yesterday, boosted by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials who pushed for a quick reduction in the central bank's bloated balance sheet, with one of them expressing openness to hefty rate increases of half a percentage point. The dollar index rose as high as 99.526, the highest since late May 2020. It was last up 0.5% at 99.498. Fed Governor Lael Brainard, usually one of the Fed's more dovish policymakers, said on Tuesday she expects methodical interest rate increases and rapid reductions to the Fed's nearly $9 trillion balance sheet to bring U.S. monetary policy to a "more neutral position" later this year.

Economic Calendar

Further tightening will follow as needed. Kansas City Fed President Esther George, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, also in remarks on Tuesday supported a rapid run-off of the Fed balance sheet, and said as well that "50 basis-points is going to be an option that we'll have to consider." The dollar's moves were primarily a function of Brainard's hawkish comments today. She was very clear on two things. One, the Fed wants to reduce the balance sheet quite aggressively and much more quickly than the last cycle. And two, the Fed is really open to a 50-basis point hike and could do so at any point over the next few meetings. 

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This is the kind of language that you don't see from many Fed officials, especially Brainard. The dollar rose 0.7% against the yen to 123.63 yen after earlier hitting a one-week peak of 123.66. On March 28, the dollar soared to 125.105 yen, the highest level since August 2015. The euro, on the other hand, struggled amid concerns about the outcome of the French elections. It was down 0.6% at $1.0901 and matched a low of $1.09 hit on March 14. 

Just days earlier amid increased optimism over an end to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the euro rose to a one-month high of $1.1185. President Emmanuel Macron is still ahead in opinion polls but his far-right Eurosceptic rival Marine Le Pen has been closing the gap, and a poll on Monday put victory within the margin of error, unnerving investors ahead of the French presidential election's first round on Sunday. Expected price swings for the euro, or implied volatility, climbed to three-week highs.

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Euro-EUR

The single currency fell today in the Asian trading session to its lowest level in one month against a strengthening dollar as the prospect of new Western sanctions on Russia added pressure to the European currency. A new round of sanctions against Russia are expected to be announced today by the U.S. and the EU. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.0898 and a high of 1.0987 before closing the day around 1.0903 in the New York session.

Japanese Yen-JPY

The Japanese Yen traded lower as the U.S dollar hit its highest in nearly two years yesterday, boosted by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials who pushed for a quick reduction in the central bank's bloated balance sheet, with one of them expressing openness to hefty rate increases of half a percentage point. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 122.35 and a high of 123.65 before closing the day around 123.58 in the U.S session.

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British Pound-GBP

The British Pound held at one-week highs versus the euro yesterday as strong data boosted the British currency while the euro struggled on growing concerns about far-right candidate Marine Le Pen winning this month's French presidential elections. Positive British PMI data supported the pound, building on Monday's gains. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3064 and a high of 1.3165 before closing the day at 1.3070 in the New York session.

Canadian Dollar-CAD

The Canadian Dollar gained as Canada's exports rose 2.8% in February to a record high, driven mostly by energy products, while imports climbed 3.9% from the previous month, data from Statistics Canada showed yesterday, with economists anticipating more gains for exports ahead. The country's trade surplus with the world narrowed to C$2.66 billion. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2400 and a high of 1.2495 before closing the day at 1.2483 in the New York session.

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Australian Dollar-AUD

The Australian Dollar rallied in choppy trading led by the Australian dollar, boosted by the prospect of policy tightening by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), while the euro fell on French election worries and the likelihood of more sanctions on Russia over Ukraine. The Aussie dollar paced gains among commodity currencies after the RBA dropped its pledge to be "patient" on tightening policy. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7358 and a high of 0.7416 before closing the day at 0.7410 in the New York session.

Euro-Yen EUR/JPY

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 61 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has gained 0.04%.

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Sterling-Yen GBP/JPY

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 60 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has gained 0.36%.

Aussie-Yen AUD/JPY

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 76 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 1.13%.

Euro-Sterling EUR/GBP

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 53 and lies below the neutral region. Overall, the pair has lost 0.30%.

Sterling-Swiss GBP/CHF

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is also indicating a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 45 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.05%.

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All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner's prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Tuesday 5 April 2022

A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive for other currency holders

US stock markets: Stocks on global indexes rose yesterday, with the NASDAQ and growth names leading gains on Wall Street, while the U.S. dollar strengthened on talk of more sanctions against Moscow following international outrage over Ukraine civilian killings. 

Adding to investor caution, the 2-year/10-year Treasury yield curve remained inverted, signaling to some market watchers that a recession may follow in one to two years. The deaths in Bucha, outside Kyiv, are likely to galvanize the United States and Europe into additional sanctions against Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine. 

Economic Calendar

The prospect of more sanctions boosted oil prices which jumped over 3%. The dollar gained for the third straight session as investors sought safety in the greenback. The dollar is bouncing higher as geopolitical developments have darkened clouds over the global economy. The Kremlin, which calls its action a "special operation," denied accusations related to the murder of civilians.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.30%. The biggest gainers of the session on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were Salesforce.com Inc., which rose 3.11% or 6.60 points to trade at 218.85 at the close. Apple Inc. added 2.37% or 4.13 points to end at 178.44 and Intel Corporation was up 2.27% or 1.09 points to 49.20 in late trade. The biggest losers included The Travelers Companies Inc., which lost 1.85% or 3.43 points to trade at 181.82 in late trade. Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. declined 1.05% or 0.46 points to end at 43.40 and McDonald’s Corporation shed 0.97% or 2.42 points to 246.83.

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NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index added 1.90%. The top performers on the NASDAQ Composite were Gbs which rose 67.95% to 1.31, Aterian Inc. which was up 46.78% to settle at 3.42 and IO Biotech Inc. which gained 33.16% to close at 7.55. The worst performers were Curis Inc. which was down 33.33% to 1.62 in late trade, GWG Holdings Inc. which lost 20.97% to settle at 4.22 and Snow Lake Resources Ltd which was down 19.32% to 8.10 at the close.

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Oil price - Crude Oil market, Brent Oil market

Oil prices jumped over 3%, with investors worried about tighter supply as mounting civilian deaths in Ukraine increased pressure on European countries to impose sanctions on Russia's energy sector. U.S West Texas Intermediate crude rose $4.01, or 4%, to settle at $103.28 a barrel. 

Trading was volatile with both contracts rising after being down more than $1. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said Russian President Vladimir Putin and his supporters would "feel the consequences" of events in Bucha, outside the capital Kyiv, where a mass grave and tied bodies shot at close range were found. Western allies would agree on further sanctions against Moscow in the coming days, he said, though the timing and reach of the new package were not clear. 

France's President suggested sanctions on oil and coal, adding there were very "clear clues pointing to war crimes" by Russian forces. Since Russia's Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine, sanctions and buyers' avoidance of Russian oil has already dented output and raised fears of tighter supplies.

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Precious and Base Metals - Gold price, Silver price, Palladium price

Gold prices eased today as the dollar held firm on rising prospects of further sanctions against Russia and possibly more aggressive interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve to rein in inflationary pressures. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,929.31 per ounce. U.S gold futures were up 0.1% at $1,935.50. 

The more liquid something is, the less the volatility. And, if markets are running away from risk, the dollar then becomes a natural haven. Now in real terms, those yields are still negative once we discount break evens. And I think that’s why gold hasn’t fallen more significantly, but if this sort of repricing for a more hawkish Fed continues and we do get positive real rates, I think gold is going to look quite unattractive. 

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The dollar index was steady after three straight sessions of gains as talks of further sanctions against Moscow increased. A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive for other currency holders. U.S. two-year Treasury yields climbed to their highest level since early-2019 and 10-year yields ticked higher on Monday. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-paying bullion. During these uncertain times, gold remains supported as a critical portfolio hedge that will shine during the most challenging juncture when inflationary pressures remain strong but growth slows.

Spot silver rose 0.6% to $24.64 per ounce, platinum fell 0.6% to $980.36 and palladium climbed 1.2% to $2,301.05.

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Traditional Agricultures - Corn futures, Wheat futures,  Soybean futures

U.S. wheat, soybean, and corn climbed in yesterday’s trading session, underpinned by disrupted supplies of Black Sea grains as the conflict in Ukraine continues, while attention shifts to U.S production. Ukrainian grain exports in March were four times less than February levels due to the Russian invasion, Ukraine’s economy ministry said, while exporters look for ways to ship grain by rail as seaports remain blocked by Russian forces. 

U.S private exporters reported the sale of 1.084 million tonnes of corn to China — 676,000 tonnes for delivery in the 2021-22 marketing year and 408,000 tonnes for delivery in 2022-23, the U.S Department of Agriculture said. Additionally, 1.53 million tonnes of corn were inspected for export the week ended March 31, near the high end of analyst expectations.

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All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner's prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Geopolitical developments have darkened clouds over the global economy

  •  The dollar gained in yesterday’s trading session, rising for three straight sessions
  • Civilian killings in Ukraine and the prospect of increased sanctions pushed investors to seek safety
  • The dollar is bouncing higher as geopolitical developments have darkened clouds
  • Data on Friday showed U.S unemployment hit a two-year low of 3.6% last month

Forex market

The dollar gained yesterday, rising for three straight sessions, as civilian killings in north Ukraine and the prospect of increased sanctions pushed investors to seek safety in the greenback. The U.S. currency also continued to benefit from a strong non-farm payrolls report for March that backed expectations for a hefty half a percentage point tightening by the Federal Reserve at next month's meeting. 

The dollar is bouncing higher as geopolitical developments have darkened clouds over the global economy. The buck was already enjoying jobs-inspired gains after solid hiring and lower unemployment cemented expectations of super-sized U.S. rate hikes this year. French President Emmanuel Macron called for new sanctions and said there were clear indications

Economic Calendar

Russian forces had committed war crimes in the town of Bucha. The Kremlin denied any accusations related to the murder of civilians in the town. German Defence Minister Christine Lambrecht said the European Union should discuss ending Russian gas imports. Russia supplies some 40% of Europe's gas needs. 

In late morning trading, the dollar, which measures the greenback against a basket of peers rose 0.3% to 98.89. Data on Friday showed U.S. unemployment hit a two-year low of 3.6% last month, leading investors to assess if the numbers would strengthen the Fed's resolve to tackle inflation by lifting rates sharply. 

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The euro, which has been under pressure due to worries about the economic damage from the war in Ukraine, fell 0.6% to 0.4% versus the dollar to $1.0988. Against sterling, the euro fell to a six-day low and it was last down 0.6% at 83.73 pence. More sanctions of course also mean that the risk of energy disruptions in Europe rises, because of our own sanctions or because Russia might get completely serious with its counter-sanctions rather than just changing the payment mode for natural gas. 

In my view, the risk of significant euro weakness increases. Fed funds futures on Friday have priced an 80% chance of a 50 basis point hike next month.

Euro-EUR

The single currency fell as investor morale in the eurozone fell to its lowest level in nearly two years in April, a survey showed yesterday, pointing to the beginning of a recession in the second quarter of 2022. Sentix's index for the eurozone fell to -18.0 in April from -7.0 the previous month, hitting its lowest level since July 2020. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.0979 and a high of 1.1036 before closing the day around 1.0981 in the New York session.

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Japanese Yen-JPY

The Japanese Yen steadied as the dollar gained yesterday, rising for three straight sessions, as civilian killings in north Ukraine and the prospect of increased sanctions pushed investors to seek safety in the greenback. The U.S. currency also continued to benefit from a strong non-farm payrolls report for March. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 121.16 and a high of 122.41 before closing the day around 122.13 in the U.S session.

British Pound-GBP

The British Pound gained versus the euro yesterday as traders continue to bet on a rapid pace of interest rate rises from the Bank of England. Despite much focus on the heaviest cost of living raise since British records began (the 1950s), the market still prices the BoE Bank Rate at 2.20% at the December meeting later this year. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3157 and a high of 1.3223 before closing the day at 1.3183 in the New York session.

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Canadian Dollar-CAD

The Canadian Dollar traded lower as a record number of Canadian businesses are facing capacity pressures amid intense labor shortages and ongoing supply chain difficulties, with many expecting significant wage and input price growth, a regular Bank of Canada survey said yesterday. The central bank's Business Outlook Survey Indicator dipped in the first quarter. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2462 and a high of 1.2550 before closing the day at 1.2473 in the New York session.

Australian Dollar-AUD

The Australian Dollar struggled at these levels for the past two weeks but has tentatively broken higher. China reported a record number of covid cases but that might be outweighed by the restart of idled Evergrande construction projects. The broader signal there is that Beijing is pulling on growth levers that will demand more commodity exports from Australia. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7358 and a high of 0.7416 before closing the day at 0.7410 in the New York session.

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Euro-Yen EUR/JPY

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 61 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.30%.

Sterling-Yen GBP/JPY

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 60 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.19%.

Aussie-Yen AUD/JPY

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 76 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.11%.

Euro-Sterling EUR/GBP

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 53 and lies below the neutral region. Overall, the pair has lost 0.12%.

Sterling-Swiss GBP/CH

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is also indicating a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 45 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.02%.

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All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner's prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Monday 4 April 2022

Euro zone inflation surged to 7.5% in March, hitting another record high

  • The nonfarm payrolls report showed that 431,000 jobs were added last month
  • The unemployment rate dropped to 3.6%, the lowest since February 2020
  • Eurozone manufacturing growth slowed sharply last month data showed on Friday

Forex market

The dollar rose on Friday, helped by robust U.S. job growth numbers for March that firmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase the pace of interest rate hikes in an effort to blunt rising inflation. 

The nonfarm payrolls report showed that 431,000 jobs were added last month, versus estimates of 490,000, while data for February job increases were revised higher. The unemployment rate dropped to 3.6%, the lowest since February 2020. Another strong print is sustaining expectations for two or more jumbo-sized Fed hikes in the coming months and has added to the momentum driving the dollar higher. 

Economic Calendar

Futures contracts tied to the Fed's policy rate fell after the jobs report, pointing to expectations that the Fed will hike by a half-a-percentage point at each of its next three meetings to deal a more decisive blow to price pressures. That would follow a quarter-point hike on March 16, when the Fed embarked on a new tightening cycle. 

The dollar index, gauges the greenback against six counterparts, including the euro. For the week, the dollar was nearly flat, having rebounded from a midweek decline as hopes over Russia-Ukraine peace talks faded, boosting safe-haven demand for the American currency. Global risk sentiment continues to deteriorate and lift the greenback as hopes for a ceasefire in Ukraine fade. 

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The euro failed to find any support from surging eurozone inflation, which climbed to 7.5% in March, hitting another record high and raising pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) to rein in runaway prices even as growth slows sharply. We still think that as much as inflation is set to intensify further in the Eurozone, the ECB is likely to wait it out this quarter to see how the bloc evolves with the shock emanating from the war in Ukraine, though we think the ECB is on borrowed time and will need to hike this year. 

The euro was 0.24% lower versus the greenback at $1.10395. The single currency retreated sharply on Thursday after hitting a one-month high earlier in the session, as hopes for a ceasefire in Russia's invasion of Ukraine faded. Peace talks were ongoing on Friday. Another commodity-linked currency, the Australian dollar, rose 0.15% to $0.74965. The Russian rouble has recovered to levels last reached in the days before Russia launched its invasion in February.

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Euro-EUR

The single currency traded lower despite Eurozone inflation surged to 7.5% in March, hitting another record high with months still left before it is set to peak, raising pressure on the European Central Bank to rein in runaway prices even as growth slows sharply. Consumer price growth in the 19 countries sharing the euro accelerated from 5.9% in February. Overall, the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.0979 and a high of 1.1036 before closing the day around 1.0981 in the New York session.

Japanese Yen-JPY

The Japanese Yen fell as The dollar rose on Friday, helped by robust U.S job growth numbers for March that firmed market expectations that the Federal Reserve will increase the pace of interest rate hikes in an effort to blunt rising inflation. The nonfarm payrolls report showed that 431,000 jobs were added last month. Overall, the USD/JPY traded with a low of 121.16 and a high of 122.41 before closing the day around 122.13 in the U.S session.

British Pound-GBP

The British Pound edged lower against the U.S dollar on Friday and was on track for a weekly loss of around 0.5%, as optimism surrounding peace talks in Ukraine faded, while UK manufacturing growth hit a 13-month low. The S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 55.2 in March. Overall, the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.3157 and a high of 1.3223 before closing the day at 1.3183 in the New York session.

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Canadian Dollar-CAD

The Canadian Dollar edged lower against its U.S counterpart on Friday, extending a modest weekly decline, as oil prices fell and the gap between U.S. and Canadian bond yields moved in favor of the U.S bonds. For the week, the currency weakened 0.3%, after touching on Wednesday its strongest intraday level in nearly five months. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.2462 and a high of 1.2550 before closing the day at 1.2473 in the New York session.

Australian Dollar-AUD

The Australian Dollar has been bumping up against resistance levels as the underlying fundamentals of the Australian economy remain strong. The backdrop of elevated commodity prices and a relatively healthy economic national balance sheet is underpinning the currency. By historical standards, the Aussie is below the long-term average since the float in 1983, while the terms of trade remain at multi-generational highs. Overall, AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.7358 and a high of 0.7416 before closing the day at 0.7410 in the New York session.

Forex VPS

Euro-Yen EUR/JPY

EUR/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 61 and lies above the neutral zone. In general, the pair has lost 0.30%.

Sterling-Yen GBP/JPY

Currently, GBP/JPY is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 60 reading and lies above the neutral zone. On the whole, the pair has lost 0.19%.

Aussie-Yen AUD/JPY

Currently, the cross is trading above 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is giving a bullish tone and MACD is also indicating a bullish stance. The Relative Strength Index is above 76 reading and lies above the neutral region. In general, the pair has lost 0.11%.

Euro-Sterling EUR/GBP

This cross is currently trading above 14, 50 and below 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is indicating a bullish tone and MACD is also issuing a bullish signal. The Relative Strength Index is above 53 and lies below the neutral region. Overall, the pair has lost 0.12%.

Sterling-Swiss GBP/CHF

This cross is trading below 14, 50 and 100 days moving average. Fast stochastic is issuing a bearish stance and MACD is also indicating a bearish tone. The Relative Strength Index is above 45 and lies below the neutral region. In general, the pair has gained 0.02%.

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All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner's prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

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Thursday 31 March 2022

The weaker dollar has provided a level of support for gold

US stock markets: U.S stocks rose yesterday, with the Dow and S&P notching their fourth straight session of gains, on optimism some progress was being made toward a deal to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. 

Russia pledged to cut down on military operations around Kyiv and in northern Ukraine, while Ukraine proposed adopting a neutral status, the first sign of progress toward peace in weeks. Prices eased for oil and other commodities, helping calm concerns about rising inflation and the path of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, which has started hiking interest rates to combat rising prices. 

If you look over the course of the month this war has been going on, the market has priced in much more bad news than good news. It certainly shows the market has a naturally coiled spring that will be a reaction function to any good news and we saw a bit of that this morning, but everything will have to be taken with a grain of salt and we will have to see things actually play out versus being actually talked about.

Economic Calendar

Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.97% to hit a new 1-month high. The best performers of the session were Visa Inc. Class A, which rose 3.33% or 7.35 points to trade at 228.12 at the close. Meanwhile, Nike Inc. added 3.21% or 4.33 points to end at 139.14 and Boeing Co was up 3.00% or 5.64 points to 193.80 in late trade. The worst performers of the session were The Travelers Companies Inc., which fell 1.58% or 2.95 points to trade at 183.81 at the close. Chevron Corp declined 1.22% or 2.03 points to end at 164.32 and UnitedHealth Group Incorporated was down 0.48% or 2.47 points to 510.73.

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NASDAQ 100

The NASDAQ index gained 1.84%. The top performers were IGM Biosciences Inc. which rose 96.73% to 29.49, PhaseBio Pharmaceuticals Inc. which was up 46.09% to settle at 1.68 and China SXT Pharmaceuticals Inc. which gained 45.40% to close at 0.29. The worst performers were NeoGenomics Inc. which was down 29.79% to 12.49 in late trade, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc. which lost 26.72% to settle at 3.95 and Stryve Foods Inc. which was down 24.81% to 1.50 at the close.

Oil price - Crude Oil market, Brent Oil market

Oil prices ended 2% lower as talks progressed between Russia and Ukraine to end their weeks-long conflict, though Moscow negotiators said a promise to scale down some military operations did not represent a ceasefire. 

Further weighing on oil futures, new lockdowns in China to curb the spread of the coronavirus prompted concerns that fuel demand could take a hit. U.S crude was down 1.6%, at $104.24. Ukrainian and Russian negotiators met in Turkey for the first face-to-face discussions in nearly three weeks. The top Russian negotiator said the talks were "constructive." 

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Russia promised to reduce its military operations around Kyiv and northern Ukraine; Ukraine proposed the adoption of neutral status but with international guarantees that it would be protected from attack. Oil came off session lows when Moscow's lead negotiator cautioned that Russia's promise to decrease military operations did not represent a ceasefire and a formal agreement with Kyiv had a long way to go.

Precious and Base Metals - Gold price, Silver price, Palladium price

Gold prices rose today, supported by a dip in the U.S dollar and Treasury yields, though signs of progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks dented the metal’s appeal as a safe haven and kept gains in check. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,922.65 per ounce after the metal hit its lowest since Feb. 28 on hopes for a negotiated end to the Ukraine conflict. 

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U.S. gold futures rose 0.6% to $1,928.80. City Index senior market analyst Matt Simpson said investors remain wary of Russia’s intentions following its pledge to scale down “military operations” around Kyiv and another city. Ukraine reacted with skepticism, and some Western governments fear Moscow's aims to intensify its offensive in other parts of the country.

Simpson said gold benefitted from both currency and bond market trends. The dollar index held near a more than one-week low hit in the previous session, making gold less expensive for other currency holders. U.S benchmark 10-year yields also slipped from near three-year highs, and lower yields decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. 

Crypto Crusher

The weaker dollar has provided a level of support for gold. Bond prices bounced from a key level of support yesterday which helped push yields lower despite the supposed risk-on rally seen across equities. And that’s provided another pillar of support for gold. Holdings of the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, slipped 0.2% to 1,091.44 tonnes on Tuesday. Spot silver rose 0.3% at $24.83 per ounce and platinum was up 0.1% to $983.78. Palladium fell 0.5% to $2,137.78, after dipping to a more than the two-month low of $2,032.97 in the last session. 

The auto-catalyst metal has tumbled nearly 40% since scaling an all-time peak on March 7 as supply concerns from Russia eased.

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Traditional Agricultures - Corn futures, Wheat futures,  Soybean futures

Wheat futures fell four percent and corn fell nearly three percent yesterday as comments by Russia and Ukraine following negotiations in Turkey raised hopes of a ceasefire in a conflict that has disrupted massive grain exports through the Black Sea region. The wheat market has been particularly turbulent since Russia invaded Ukraine on Feb. 24. Both countries are major wheat exporters, while Ukraine is also a significant global corn supplier.

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