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Friday, 1 December 2023

Step-by-Step Forex Education: How to Become Forex Trader

Also known as foreign exchange, forex trade is one of the largest markets in the world attracting both amateur and professional traders. This is because it increases your chances of having a long-term career and making good profits. While there’s a significant interest in forex, understanding the right steps can be tricky. For instance, you need to know how the fx market works and have an analytical mind. This article discusses step-by-step ways how to become a forex trader. It also shows the best practices and offers actionable advice for both experienced traders and beginners who wants to trading fulltime

Forex Trading Education

One of the things that successful traders have in common is the curiosity to learn new things. If you intend to make good profits, you need to constantly learn about trading and the forex market.

Since forex is one of the most dynamic markets in the world, you must know what’s happening in the markets and what’s affecting them before you open an account. From online courses to books and educational websites, there are several ways to learn how to become a forex trader.

Online Courses

Forex online courses provide the best avenues of learning forex in college-based classes. The courses basically involve PowerPoint presentations, trading simulations, eBooks, and so on. Through these courses, you can move through beginner to intermediate and advanced levels depending on what the course offer. If you have limited knowledge about forex, these courses can be invaluable is you want to learn how to become a forex trader.

While most courses range from $50 to hundreds of dollars, you can access dozens of them online almost free of charge. A good online course should be developed with a successful trader’s knowledge, skills and experience and offered as part of the membership of the trading platform.

The course should also be self-paced and include webinars, videos, chat rooms, trading simulators and access to mentors. Once you know how to become a forex trader, you can start putting your knowledge into action through real trading. 

Qualities of a Good Online Course

While looking for a good forex online course, you need to consider;

  1. The Reputation of the Course

With the increase in online trading, the supply of online trading courses has dramatically risen. There are many courses out there, but you’ll want to consider the reputation of the course. First, you need to avoid courses which promise instant or guaranteed returns without putting in an effort. A good forex online course should not make such promises.

Instead, choose a course that makes it clear that trading strategies take time to learn. Remember, forex trading involves risk-taking and there are no guarantees especially if you want to master how to become a forex trader.

  1. Certification for the Course

A good online course should be certified by a financial institution or regulatory body. If the course is universal, it should be certified by different international bodies. For instance, in the United States, the most popular bodies that certify online forex courses include;

  1. The Securities and Exchange Commission
  2. The Chicago Board of Trade
  3. The National Futures Association
  4. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange
  5. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC
  6. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
  7. The National Futures Association

  1. Cost and Duration

Unlike live courses, online courses are quite flexible with most lessons based on pre-recorded lectures and video presentations. Before choosing a course, be sure to consider the cost and duration of the course. Since these elements vary depending on the provider, you need to narrow your options by checking the terms, conditions and even reviews from previous students to help you learn how to become a forex trader.

Books

If you want to master forex trade fast, reading books is one of your best options. With forex trading books, you’ll quickly learn the key points for effective trading. The best forex trade books will guide you throughout the journey right from the basics to becoming an expert. To quickly learn how to become a forex trader,you need to start practising what you learn as soon as possible.

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Benefits of Forex Trading Books

  1. Mistakes to avoid– like every other job, you are bound to make a lot of mistakes as a beginner. But, with the right information from the books you can avoid this and start trading on the right footing.
  1. Knowing the myths– while most people give their opinions about forex, a lot of these are not true. Thankfully, with the best books, you can prove some of these myths and understand what’s true. Understanding the myths is very important if you want to know how to become a forex trader.
  1. Motivation– whether you are a beginner or a professional, motivation is extremely necessary. There comes a time when you don’t even feel like trading. This can be due to losses or some mistakes you made. Thankfully, the best forex books can motivate you to start from scratch.
  1. Money management– alongside forex trading strategies, it’s best if you learn how to manage your money. This might seem unnecessary at first but it will help you in the long run.
  1. Avoid scams- similar to any online investment, buying and selling in forex is full of scams. Several brokers might ask you to invest with them and scam you. Frauds are also common but you can avoid them by choosing books that explains how to become a forex trader.
  1. Boost your trading techniques– if you are already trading in forex, these books can help you learn the tricks and tips to step up your game. It’s, therefore, important to keep learning and get better insights.
  1. Know the risks– since forex trade requires investment, you should always expect risks. With the best forex trading books, you’ll not only learn how to become a forex trader but also know how to avoid risks.
  1. Making strategies– if you make strategies without planning you are likely to make mistakes. But with the best forex books, you’ll understand the financial market trends and strategise accordingly.

Educational Websites

Educational websites allow you to learn basic trading strategies, investment strategies and risk management. Once you’ve gathered enough information from the websites you can stay on top of economic news, foreign exchange market trends and global events. These websites will also help you boost your skills and learn how to become a forex trader so you can maximise your returns.

However, before settling on any particular website, you’ll want to make sure that they are trustworthy and legitimate. Whether you are looking for technical analysis, news or strategy guidance, it’s important to only pick reputable sites that can help you know how to become a forex trader.

The best websites should cover all the basics when it comes to learning about forex trading. As a rule of thumb, start with basic educational content before moving to foreign exchange market research and strategies. This way, you’ll understand the market and master the trading tools so you can make informed decisions.

Forex Trading Terminology 

Forex has its own terminologies or language. When you are introduced to platforms such as MT4, and MT5, getting used to trading can be challenging. By not understanding such language, you can hinder your trading journey.

So, it’s important to familiarise yourself with some of the basic forex terminologies that can help you trade and master how to become a forex trader.. While there is plenty to learn, here are some of the core terms used in forex. 

How to become a forex trader

Pip

Known as the short form of Percentage in Point, a Pip is used to refer to profits and losses in forex. It represents the smallest increment that a forex exchange rate can have. Typically, one pip is equivalent to the fourth decimal of most currency pairs.

For example, if EUR/USD rises from 1.1558 to 1.1562, that rise is equal to 4 pips. However, there are currency pairs like yen-pairs whose pips are situated at the second decimal place.

Leverage

While the forex market is open 24 hours a day, the reason why traders are attracted is because of leverage. With leverage, traders can open a much larger position than their trading size. This allows them to get exposed to huge amounts of currency without paying the full value upfront. For instance, if you are given a leverage of 1:50, it means you can use your initial investment of $200 to open a trade valued at $10,000. 

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Margin

When using leverage, your broker can allocate a portion of your account size as the collateral for the trade. This collateral is known as the margin and it lets you keep some deposit in your account. For instance, if you trade on a 1% margin for every USD100 that you invest, you need to have a deposit of at least 1 dollar. This deposit, therefore, serves as a guarantee for the leveraged amount.

Spread

Spread refers to the transaction costs you have to pay each time you are entering a trade. While most brokers don’t charge any fees on placing trades, the spread remains the main cost to Forex traders. Knowing this is important if you want to master how to become a forex trader.

Exchange Rate

The exchange rate can be described as the price base currency compared to the counter-currency. If the exchange rate of EUR/USD is 1.15, then you need $1.15 to buy one euro. A high exchange rate means the price of the base currency is appreciating while that of the counter currency is depreciating.

Bid Price

This is the price at which a trader is willing to sell a currency pair. Conversely, the asking price is the price at which he is willing to buy the currency pair.

Stop Loss

This is a tool that allows you to close a position once you reach a certain pre-set price. By using this tool you can protect your trade against any further losses.

Forex Trading Tools

As a beginner, it’s important to invest in the best forex trading tools you can afford to sell and buy in forex smoothly. These tools are available for both windows and mac hence you can use them wherever you are. With these tools, you’ll not only trade well but also access the most reliable information possible.

Trading Platforms

Since today’s trading platforms include several technical analyses, they are termed as tools. On most trading platforms, there is news data which shows real-time prices and another window which allows you to directly trade off the displayed charts.

The best thing about trading platforms is that they have fully customizable dashboards that let you set your preferences and create watchlists. By using the software provided by these platforms, you can customize and even automate your trade according to the parameters you’ve set. Moreover, the fact that they come in mobile apps means you can always trade on the go and significantly increase your chances of success.

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Charting Tools

As one of the most popular tools, charting tools allow you to get a visual representation of how the market is doing and even analyze the conditions in real time. Also, they let you place the trades directly from the charts and even customise them according to your pre-set parameters.

Moreover, they include additional features like trading signals and indicators which you can use to test your strategies and gain a clear view of how you could have performed in real-time trading. Unlike in the past, charting tools nowadays include interactive price charts with various overlays and technical indicators.

News Feeds

News feeds is also another important forex trading tool that can give you real-time data. While you can manually search the news from different sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, Forex Factory and FX street, it’s much easier if it’s delivered automatically from central bank or other sources.

With a tool such as Admirals MetaTrader Supreme Edition plugin, you can have news feeds delivered directly to you. The fact that it connects all big news providers makes it one of the best forex trading tools out there. The best of all is that you can filter the news and receive only what you need.

Forex Trading Strategies

Forex trading strategies are designed to give you insights into when you can buy and sell in forex. Since not all trading strategies are equal, some may work while others may not depending on the particular trading situation. Also, trading strategies require different levels of fundamental and technical analysis for them to be effective. Depending on the trader, a strategy can be considered simple or complex.

Scalping

Scalping refers to taking advantage of small intraday price moves. A scalper seeks to quickly beat the spread with just a few pips before he can exit the market. Unlike others, this strategy uses low time-frame charts like the ones used in the MetaTrader 4 Supreme Edition package. Scalpers need to be able to make decisions fast even under pressure. 

They should, therefore, spend a lot of time on the screen while focusing on one or more specific markets. The advantage of this strategy is that it allows you to focus for a specific time duration hence you don’t have to worry about interpreting long-term fundamentals or holding specific positions overnight.

Besides putting a lot of pressure on you, you are likely to react emotionally and make mistakes especially when your trade runs for only a few minutes. It may, therefore, not be the best trading style for beginners to first start with. Otherwise, this strategy only suits those who can dedicate and maintain focus during those rapid trades.

Swing Trading

Swing trading refers to when traders hold their positions open for several days. Some of the popular methods they use include range trading, trend following, and breakout trading. If you choose this strategy, you need to be patient as it might take several days for a good opportunity to show up. You might even hold up your trade for more than a week while making losses.

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If you are comfortable with running positions for days, swing trading is the right strategy for you. It also allows you to use fundamental analysis something that scalp trading lacks. More so, it’s one of the key things taught in how to become a forex trader.

Carry Trading

Carry trading strategy is where you try to make a profit from the difference between the two different currencies. For example, you can buy a high-interest-rate currency and sell one with low interest. This way, you can receive an interest rate payment depending on the size of your position.

The advantage of this strategy is that you can earn a lot of profit from just holding a position. Of course, you need the right market environment for this to work. Carry trades tend to perform well in markets where traders are seeking high risk. However, before applying this strategy, you need to know the characteristics of the currency you’re buying. For example, a currency like the Australian Dollar will do well when the comedy prices are rising. 

Forex Trading Plan

A trading plan is an organised trading approach that traders develop based on market analysis while factoring in any risks they’re likely to encounter. Traders who follow disciplined trading are likely to increase their profits. While they can lose some trades, they will still realize profits because they followed a disciplined approach.

Why You Need a Trading Plan

A good trading plan can help you make logical decisions so you can avoid being emotional at the heart of the moment. Other benefits include;

  1. Once you make an upfront plan, trading becomes easy.
  2. It allows you to make objective decisions and cut losses
  3. By sticking to your plan, you can know what works and what cannot work
  4. It gives you room for improvement as you can easily learn from your past mistakes

Setting Clear Goals

Any trading goal you set should be measurable, specific and attainable. For example, if you want to increase your portfolio by 15% your statement should be specific so you can measure success at the end of the time frame. Your goal should also be based on your attitude, and the amount of time you wish to commit.

Developing a Risk Management Strategy

Risk management strategies allow you to set rules that can minimize your trading losses. While this requires a lot of work and prior planning, it’s a must-have especially if want to ensure you make minimal losses while trading. Since foreign currencies are frequently fluctuating, you need to have a strategy that can cushion you and prevent you from making losses.

An effective risk management strategy should also reduce your losses and help you better manage any shifts in currency pairings much easier.

More so, a risk management strategy can help you diversify so you don’t just trade on one currency pair and risk making losses. But if you are using multiple currencies, you become less vulnerable to risks. The bottom line is to understand the risks so that you can know the best strategies to manage them. You can start with a demo account before moving to real trading.

Automated trading systems

Regularly Reviewing Performance

Forex trading requires you to regularly monitor your performance and overall position. A good way to do this is to keep a journal and record your reasons for trading, emotions during trade, goals and achievements. By keeping a journal or diary, you can maintain a clear focus and learn from your mistakes.

It’s also important to monitor your performance and keep a watch on your trading capital while bearing in mind that the main aim of trading is to preserve your capital. Furthermore, by reviewing your performance, you can look at your past trades and avoid making many more major mistakes in future. The important thing is to review your performance and learn from experience.

Conclusion

While succeeding in forex trade is far from easy, it’s nothing impossible. It’s a path full of challenges and pitfalls but the rewards are quite fulfilling. To succeed, you need to create a learning path by picking the right courses, books and websites. 

You also need to master the strategies and develop a trading plan. If you are disciplined and have the right mindset, the possibilities of making profits are endless. Just remember to constantly be alert and adapt to the best strategies.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How much time do I need to commit to trading forex every day?

The trading time typically ranges from one trader to the other. While some people start trading and keep monitoring the market, others enter the market, trade and come back later to review the position of their trade.

How long does it take to master forex trading?

This depends on how much time you dedicate each day to learning forex. Even if you’ve opened a trading account, it’s recommended that you continue learning. If you want to get started fast, it’s best if you set aside time each day for learning and researching. 

Is forex trading safe?

Like any other online business, there are several scammers out there. However, this doesn’t mean there are no reputable brokers who are always ready to help you. So, it’s important to spend some time researching and reading everything about their websites. You should also check online user reviewers and gather as much information as possible about them.

Is forex trading right for me?

To enjoy forex trading, you need to have a strong mathematics ability and be strategic. You should also have problem-solving abilities and analytical skills.

How do I practice forex trading before going live?

Aside from developing your own styles and ideas, it’s best if you seek advice from professional traders while continuously reading forex trading books.

Read these next;

Forex for Beginners: What You Need to Know To Get Started

Best Trading Sessions At Forex Markets

Factors That Affect The Exchange Rate In 2023

Disclaimer:

All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner’s prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. 

Thursday, 30 November 2023

EUR/USD remains capped below 1.1000, EU/ US inflation data eyed

EUR/USD is struggling below 1.1000, as the US Dollar clings to recovery gains in Asian trading hours on Thursday. Wednesday’s softer-than-expected German and Spain inflation data weighed on the Euro. Investors await the Eurozone inflation data on Thursday for fresh impetus.

Eurozone inflation data awaited for fresh impetus

The EUR/USD hit a fresh three-month high at 1.1016 but failed to hold above 1.1000 and pulled back, despite risk appetite. Inflation slowed further in Europe, while the US economy showed even stronger growth than previously reported during the third quarter. The Greenback remains vulnerable ahead of the US data.

German and Spain inflation data could fuel speculation about rate cuts from ECB

In Germany, inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), declined to 3.2% on a yearly basis in November from 3.8% in October, below the market expectation of 3.5%. In Spain, the annual rate slowed from 3.5% to 3.2%. On Thursday, Eurostat will release Eurozone CPI. Also due are German Retail Sales and the Unemployment Rate.

If inflation from the Eurozone confirms what Spain and Germany data have already shown, it could fuel further speculation about rate cuts from the European Central Bank (ECB). However, ECB officials will want to see more data before turning decisively dovish, particularly as economists warn that inflation is likely to rebound in the next two months. In any case, it is welcomed news for the ECB.

US data includes Core PCE Price Index and Jobless Claims

Data released on Wednesday revealed that the US economy expanded in the third quarter at a 5.2% annualized rate, above the previously reported 4.9%. The number helped bolster the US Dollar as it served as reassurance about the performance of the US economy. However, the Beige Book later suggested that economic activity slowed in the period prior to November 18.

On Thursday, US data to be released includes the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and the weekly Jobless Claims. Both reports are critical and could trigger more losses for the US Dollar if they show inflation slowing further and a softer labor market.

GBP/USD attracts buyers near 1.2700, softer US Dollar offers support

The GBP/USD pair attracts some buyers below the 1.2700 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Thursday. That being said, the softer US Dollar offers some support to the major pair. GBP/USD is trading near 1.2695, up 0.02% on the day.

US Dollar declines following dovish comments from Fed officials

Following Tuesday’s sharp US Dollar decline, the GBP/USD pair traded as high as 1.2732, its highest since late August. The Greenback collapsed following surprising dovish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, reinforcing the market’s belief that the central bank is done with rate hikes.

US government bond yields continue to decline

Meanwhile, a continued decline in US government bond yields limits USD gains. The 10-year Treasury note currently offers 4.29%, its lowest in two months, while the 2-year note pays 4.70%, the lowest since mid-July.

US Q3 GDP estimate expected to confirm annual growth at 5%

The United States (US) will release the second estimate of the Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is expected to confirm the annual pace of growth at 5%, slightly better than the previous 4.9%. Additionally, multiple Federal Reserve speakers will be on the wire, while Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver brief remarks at an event celebrating the 50th anniversary of the London Foreign Exchange Joint Standing Committee.

Disclaimer:

All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner’s prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Tuesday, 28 November 2023

Stocks Hold Steady as Dollar Wavers Ahead of US Data

Flexible leverage

Global stocks showed resilience on Tuesday, as investors maintained confidence that the Federal Reserve would not raise interest rates further. This sentiment kept the dollar at three-month lows and supported gold prices above $2,000 per ounce.

Key Economic Data to Shape Expectations for Rate Cuts

Traders will closely monitor the release of economic data this week, particularly regarding the performance of the U.S. economy in the third quarter, consumer inflation, and spending figures. These indicators will play a crucial role in setting expectations for the timing of potential rate cuts.

MSCI All-World Index Indicates Strong Performance

The MSCI All-World index remained unchanged for the day, signaling its best month in three years with an impressive 8.5% increase in November. Similarly, the dollar remained flat at its lowest level in three months, having depreciated by 3.2% against a basket of currencies this month.

European Stocks Experience Decline, US Stock Futures Follow Suit

European stocks witnessed a 0.6% drop, driven by losses in pharmaceutical and consumer goods companies. U.S. stock futures also fell by 0.1%, reflecting the cautious sentiment among traders.

Focus on US Personal Consumption Expenditures and Euro Zone Inflation

This week, investors will closely watch Thursday’s U.S. October personal consumption expenditures report (PCE), including core PCE, considered the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, as well as euro zone consumer inflation figures. These reports will provide valuable insights into price trends and monetary policy direction.

Gold Traders Keep Tabs on US Inflation

Gold traders are closely monitoring U.S. inflation numbers, as the price of gold reached a six-month high above $2,000. This surge is attributed to a weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields. Central banks worldwide have emphasized their commitment to maintaining interest rates at levels that curb inflation.

Euro Zone Inflation Data Fuels Discussion in European Markets

Euro zone inflation data this week will fuel ongoing discussions in European markets. ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that the fight against inflation is not over, citing robust wage growth and an uncertain outlook. The market will also focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech to gauge future rate expectations.

Benchmark Treasury Yields Edge Up, Japanese Yen Strengthens

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields increased by 2 basis points to 4.41%, surrendering some gains following Monday’s data showing a larger-than-expected decline in new home sales in October. The Japanese yen, often influenced by U.S. yields, strengthened, causing the dollar to decline by 0.1% to 148.44 yen.

Oil Prices Rise Amid OPEC+ Volatility

Oil prices experienced an uptick due to volatility in the oil market ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. Brent crude rose by 1.1% to $80.83 per barrel, while U.S. crude futures increased by 1.1% to $75.68 per barrel.

European Markets Tumble, Rolls-Royce Gains

European markets started the day with a decline, halting the steady momentum seen throughout the month. The Stoxx 600 fell by 0.6%, with French videogames publisher Ubisoft leading losses and Rolls-Royce gaining 5.5% following its medium-term profit and margin improvement plans.

Asia-Pacific Markets Trade Mixed

Asia-Pacific markets traded in mixed territory after closing in negative territory the previous day. U.S. stock futures were down as November approached its end, with traders reflecting on the strong gains witnessed throughout the month.

In summary, global stocks remained stable as investors anticipated the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. The focus this week will be on key economic data, including U.S. personal consumption expenditures and euro zone inflation figures. Traders are closely monitoring U.S. inflation numbers and the oil market ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. European markets experienced a decline, while Asia-Pacific markets traded in a mixed fashion. Rolls-Royce announced plans to increase operating profit and improve margins.

Disclaimer:

All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner’s prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Week Ahead: U.S. PCE Index, Lagarde and Powell Speeches

As the forex market gears up for another eventful week, traders are paying close attention to a range of economic events and speeches that have the potential to sway currency values.

Here are the key highlights and their potential implications for traders:

DateEventPotential Implications for Traders
Nov 27ECB President Lagarde SpeechInsights into monetary policy and future actions
Nov 27USA New Home SalesStrength of the housing market
Nov 28RBA Governor SpeechPotential changes to interest rates
Nov 28CB Consumer ConfidenceMarket sentiment and spending intentions
Nov 29Australia CPI y/yInflation levels and potential rate movements
Nov 29RBNZ Rate StatementMonetary policy decisions and economic outlook
Nov 29German Prelim CPI m/mEurozone economy and potential tightening
Nov 29Spanish Flash CPI y/yOverall health of the Eurozone
Nov 29USA Prelim GDP q/qUnited States’ economic performance
Nov 29BOE Gov SpeechPotential changes in UK monetary policy
Nov 30China’s Manufacturing PMISnapshot of China’s manufacturing sector
Nov 30OPEC-JMMC MeetingsOil production levels and crude oil prices
Nov 30Eurozone’s Core CPI Flash EstimatePrice stability and potential policy adjustments
Nov 30Canada’s GDP m/mCanadian economic growth
Nov 30ECB President Lagarde SpeechFurther clarification on policy stance
Nov 30USA Core PCE Index m/mFederal Reserve’s inflation gauge
Nov 30Unemployment ClaimsHealth of the US job market
Nov 30Pending Home Sales m/mFuture housing market activity
Dec 1Canada’s Employment ChangeHealth of the Canadian labor market
Dec 1Canada’s Unemployment RateStrength of the Canadian economy
Dec 1USA ISM PMIEconomic activity in the US manufacturing sector
Dec 1Fed Chair Powell SpeechMonetary policy decisions and economic outlook
From TraderFactor’s Economic Calendar

Monday 27th November 2023

ECB President Lagarde Speech

ECB President Christine Lagarde’s speech is anticipated to provide insights into the central bank’s monetary policy stance and potential future actions. Traders will closely analyze her remarks for any hints regarding interest rate adjustments or changes in the ECB’s bond-buying program.

USA New Home Sales

The release of new home sales data from the United States will provide valuable information about the strength of the housing market. Higher-than-expected numbers could signal a robust economy, while weaker figures may indicate a slowdown in the sector.

Tuesday 28th November 2023

RBA Governor Speech

The speech by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor will be closely monitored for any indications of potential changes to interest rates or monetary policy. Traders will be keen to assess the RBA’s outlook on the Australian economy and its impact on the Australian dollar.

CB Consumer Confidence

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index reflects consumers’ sentiment towards the economy and their spending intentions. A higher reading could boost market confidence and potentially strengthen the domestic currency.

Wednesday 29th November 2023

Australia CPI y/y

Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) provides crucial information about inflation levels. Any surprises in the CPI figures could lead to increased volatility in the Australian dollar as traders reassess their expectations for future interest rate movements.

RBNZ Rate Statement

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Rate Statement will shed light on the central bank’s latest monetary policy decisions and its assessment of the country’s economic outlook. Traders will closely watch for any indications of potential interest rate changes or policy shifts.

German Prelim CPI m/m and Spanish Flash CPI y/y

Inflation figures from Germany and Spain will be closely watched as they provide insights into the overall health of the Eurozone economy. Higher-than-expected inflation rates could increase expectations of future tightening measures by the European Central Bank (ECB).

USA Prelim GDP q/q

The release of preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the United States will offer a comprehensive assessment of the nation’s economic performance. Positive growth figures may strengthen the US dollar, while weaker-than-expected results could lead to its depreciation.

BOE Gov Speech

Bank of England (BOE) Governor’s speech will be closely followed by traders as they seek clues about potential changes in UK monetary policy. Any remarks on interest rates, inflation, or economic outlook could impact the British pound.

Thursday 30th November 2023

China’s Manufacturing PMI

China’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) provides a snapshot of the country’s manufacturing sector. A higher-than-expected reading could boost market sentiment and potentially strengthen the yuan.

OPEC-JMMC Meetings

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies will convene in the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting. Any decisions regarding oil production levels could influence crude oil prices, consequently affecting currencies tied to petroleum-exporting nations.

Eurozone’s Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y and CPI Flash Estimate y/y

Inflation data from the Eurozone will be closely monitored by traders looking for signs of price stability. Higher-than-expected inflation rates may increase pressure on the ECB to tighten monetary policy.

Canada’s GDP m/m

Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures will provide insights into the country’s economic growth. Unexpected changes in GDP can impact the Canadian dollar, with stronger growth potentially strengthening the currency.

ECB President Lagarde Speech

ECB President Christine Lagarde’s second speech of the week may further clarify the central bank’s policy stance. Traders will closely analyze her remarks for any indications of future monetary policy adjustments.

USA Core PCE Index m/m

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index serves as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Higher-than-expected readings could fuel speculation about potential interest rate hikes, potentially strengthening the US dollar.

Unemployment Claims

The weekly release of unemployment claims data from the United States will provide insights into the health of the job market. Lower-than-expected figures may indicate a robust labor market, potentially benefiting the US dollar.

Pending Home Sales m/m

Pending Home Sales data reflects signed contracts for home purchases and provides a glimpse into future housing market activity. Positive figures could signal strength in the real estate sector, potentially supporting the domestic currency.

Friday 1st December 2023

Canada’s Employment Change and Unemployment Rate

Canada’s employment figures will provide valuable insights into the health of the Canadian labor market. Higher employment change and a lower unemployment rate can potentially boost the Canadian dollar, signaling economic strength.

USA ISM PMI

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) measures the economic activity of the manufacturing sector in the United States. A higher-than-expected reading could indicate an expanding economy, potentially strengthening the US dollar.

Fed Chair Powell Speech

Traders will closely watch Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech for any indications of future monetary policy decisions. His remarks on interest rates, inflation, and economic outlook can significantly impact market sentiment and currency values.

As traders navigate the forex market this week, these events will likely serve as key drivers of volatility and potential trading opportunities. Stay tuned for updates and be prepared for market reactions as these events unfold.

EUR/USD Retreats from Near 1.0960

The EUR/USD pair has retreated from near 1.0960 after Wall Street’s opening, as European Central Bank President, Christine Lagarde, speaks before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament. The US Dollar meets modest intraday demand. Despite financial markets being cautious, the EUR/USD pair maintains its positive tone and battles the strong static resistance level at 1.0960. Demand for safety diverges away from the US Dollar, contributing to its selling pressure.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, new residential sales statistics for October 2023 reveal that sales of new single-family houses were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 679,000. This data was jointly announced today by the two organizations.

It is worth noting that this figure is 5.6 percent (±12.3 percent)* below the revised September rate of 719,000. However, it represents a substantial increase of 17.7 percent (±17.9 percent)* compared to the October 2022 estimate of 577,000.

GBP/USD Holds Near Two-Month High of 1.2644

GBP/USD is holding higher ground near a fresh two-month high of 1.2644. The pair received support from hawkish Bank of England commentary and a broadly weaker US Dollar. However, the poor performance of stocks limits the pair’s advance.

GBPUSD Daily Chart

GBPUSD daily chart

USD/JPY Experiences Downward Pressure

USD/JPY faces downward pressure as the Federal Reserve is expected to ease monetary policy. Mixed S&P Global PMI data further contributes to the US Dollar’s losses. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen strengthens against the US Dollar due to Japanese inflation data.

USDJPY Daily Chart

USDJPY Daily Chart

Bank of Japan Governor, Kazuo Ueda, downplays the likelihood of consistently reaching the 2.0% inflation target. He expresses caution about market expectations regarding a potential policy shift by the BoJ, despite acknowledging the moderate recovery of the Japanese economy.

Gold Surges at the Start of the Week, Eyeing Six-Month High and Potential Record Highs

Gold price maintains its position above $2,010 per troy ounce during the European session on Monday, benefitting from the weakness of the US Dollar. Speculation that the Federal Reserve has concluded its interest rate hikes has contributed to the Dollar’s decline and provided support for the yellow metal.

XAUUSD Daily USD

XAUUSD Daily USD

With a half percent increase and hitting a six-month high, gold’s momentum has been bolstered by softer US data and less hawkish Fed commentary. This positive trend, coupled with news of increased financial support for private firms by the People’s Bank of China, suggests that gold may have the potential to move towards record highs in the near future.

OPEC+ Meeting Holds Key Implications as Oil Sinks and Markets Await Bold Measures

Oil prices experience a decline, with WTI sinking to $74 and reaching a pivotal level. As traders brace for an eventful week, the US Dollar remains flat to lower. The fate of oil hangs in the balance as OPEC+ prepares to convene in a crucial meeting. Failure to reach a consensus and implement supportive measures could potentially push oil below $70.

WTI Chart

WTI chart

Scheduled for Thursday, the OPEC+ meeting carries significant implications for the market. Any decision made by the alliance will have a direct impact on oil prices and subsequent inflation. The fact that the meeting has already been delayed by four days highlights underlying disagreements within the group.

The outcome of the OPEC+ meeting will determine the path forward for oil markets and shape investor sentiment. All eyes are on the alliance as markets await bold and unified measures that can restore stability and support oil prices.

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